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Showing posts with label James Hamilton. Show all posts
Showing posts with label James Hamilton. Show all posts

Friday, April 1, 2011

Next oil induced recession -- are we there yet?

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Research in the US confirms that there is a strong correlation between high oil prices and recessions. Recessions emerge when oil prices reach around $US85 a barrel (currently $US115 a barrel) or when the aggregate cost of oil for the nation equals 5.5% of GDP.